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New Zealand's cruise 2036 plan, in five numbers

Cruisey Insider· 3 September 2026· 5 min read

The whole New Zealand cruise 2036 plan reduced to five sourced numbers — and why every one of them points to a supply-and-value problem, not a demand one.

New Zealand's cruise story is easy to tell badly. A single headline — a target, a decline, a "record" season — gets quoted out of context and the argument goes nowhere. So here is the plan in five numbers instead. Each one is sourced and dated, and each points at the same conclusion: New Zealand's cruise problem is a problem of supply and value, not demand.

1. ~660 — the port calls New Zealand sees in 2025-26

That is the lowest since Covid, and it is down from 1,011 ship visits in 2023-24 (AEC Group for CLIA Australasia and the New Zealand Cruise Association). Across two seasons the country has shed roughly 440 port calls. The ships are not staying away because travellers lost interest — demand for cruising in this part of the world is at a record. They are being deployed somewhere else.

2. NZ$1.23 billion — the value the sector generated in 2024-25

Down 9.8% on the year before, with employment falling from 9,729 jobs to 8,253 — a 15.3% drop. Value is falling faster than the number of ships, which is the tell that this is a mix problem, not just a count problem: New Zealand is losing the high-value calls fastest.

3. NZ$313 — what each passenger now spends a day ashore

Up 11% from $282.20 the season before. Fewer ships are calling, but the passengers who do come spend more. A serious 2036 plan is built around that fact — chase value per call, not calls for their own sake.

4. ~NZ$79,900 — the levies on a single ship

That is the levy bill for one 3,000-passenger vessel across eight New Zealand ports (MBIE, New Zealand Cruise Impact Research, March 2025). Border levies rose 88% in 2024, and the New Zealand Cruise Association — which has done the hard work of building a unified strategy the sector didn't have — now calls the country "the most expensive place in the world for a cruise ship to visit." When a ship can be deployed anywhere on earth, cost isn't a footnote. It's the itinerary decision.

5. 3,935 — the ceiling, against a target of 4,000

We built the 2036/37 calendar as an actual allocation model — nineteen ports, twelve months, checked against every port's published berth count. Today's berths cap out at about 3,351 port visits. Build every consented berth and flatten the season and you reach 3,935 — 98% of the 4,000 ambition, and still short of it. The target is reachable. But it sits at the physical ceiling of the network, not comfortably inside it, and it needs both new berths and a materially flatter season. Neither alone is enough.

What the five numbers add up to

Read together they describe a plan rather than a slogan. Demand is at a record — 1.45 million Australians cruised in 2025, up 9.5%. The constraint is entirely on the supply side: deployment decisions made three years out, operating cost, and berths at a handful of ports in a handful of months. That is a more fixable problem than "nobody wants to come," and a more expensive one than a marketing campaign can solve.

This is deliberately the short version. The full ten-year case for New Zealand cruise sets out each number with its sources, the pillars behind them, and what the plan actually asks the industry and government to do. Cruisey's role in it is narrow: put the evidence in the open, correct it in public when it's wrong, and let anyone check the working. If one of these five numbers is out of date, tell us and we'll change it.

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